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BMJ 2003;326:1175-1177 (31 May), doi:10.1136/bmj.326.7400.1175
Robert Paul Riemsma, senior research fellow1, Jill Pattenden, research fellow2, Christopher Bridle, senior lecturer in health psychology3, Amanda J Sowden, associate director1, Lisa Mather, information officer1, Ian S Watt, professor of primary care2, Anne Walker, senior behavioural scientist4
1 Centre for Reviews and Dissemination, University of York, York YO10 5DD, 2 Department of Health Sciences, University of York, 3 School of Counselling and Health Psychology, University of the West of England, Bristol BS16 2JP, 4 Health Services Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Forester Hill, Aberdeen AB25 2ZD
Correspondence to: R P Riemsma rpr1{at}york.ac.uk
Design Systematic review.
Data sources 35 electronic databases, catalogues, and internet resources (from inception to July 2002). Bibliographies of retrieved references were scanned for other relevant publications, and authors were contacted if necessary.
Results 23 randomised controlled trials were reviewed; two reported details of an economic evaluation. Eight trials reported effects in favour of stage based interventions, three trials showed mixed results, and 12 trials found no statistically significant differences between a stage based intervention and a non-stage based intervention or no intervention. Eleven trials compared a stage based intervention with a non-stage based intervention, and one reported statistically significant effects in favour of the stage based intervention. Two studies reported mixed effects, and eight trials reported no statistically significant differences between groups. The methodological quality of the trials was mixed, and few reported any validation of the instrument used to assess participants' stage of change. Overall, the evidence suggests that stage based interventions are no more effective than non-stage based interventions or no intervention in changing smoking behaviour.
Conclusions Limited evidence exists for the effectiveness of stage based interventions in changing smoking behaviour.
The risk of disease is reduced after smoking cessation. After only one year of abstinence the excess risk of death related to myocardial infarction and cerebral arterial disease is decreased by one half as is the risk of dying from smoking related disease in those who stop before the age of 50.3 Treatment for smoking related disease costs the NHS around £1500m ($2414m; €2095m) annually.1
Several methods are currently used for smoking cessation, including pharmacological methods, such as nicotine replacement therapy or antidepressants (bupropion), hypnotherapy, and exercise based interventions. Behavioural approaches include stage based interventions, which largely use the transtheoretical model.4 This model separates individuals into five different stages: precontemplation, contemplation, preparation, action, and maintenance. Progression through the stages is sequential, although relapse to an earlier stage can occur. The model also recognises 10 processes of change, the theory being that the effectiveness of the different processes of change will vary according to the patient's stage, although this has not always been supported in empirical studies.57
Interventions derived from stage theories of behaviour change usually incorporate several key elements. It is necessary to identify accurately an individual's stage of change (or readiness to change), so that an intervention based on stage specific processes of change can be applied. Stage of change needs to be reassessed frequently, and the intervention should reflect changes in the individual's readiness to change. These elements of the intervention are repeated until the individual achieves and maintains the change in behaviour. In this way, stage based interventions evolve and adapt in response to the individual's movement through the stages of change.4 8
Stage based models propose that interventions that take into account the current stage of the individual will be more effective and efficient than "one size fits all" interventions. Services aimed at smoking cessation have made extensive use of the approach. A recent survey on training in smoking cessation in England found that the stages of change model and motivational interviewing were the main topics covered in training courses, as well as the primary theory used to explain behaviour change.9 Between April 2001 and March 2002 the UK government's expenditure on smoking cessation services in England was £24.7m.10
Despite the widespread use of stage based models, evidence on the effectiveness of this approach may be limited. We assessed the available evidence.
Eligible for inclusion were randomised controlled trials evaluating the effectiveness of stage based interventions in influencing smoking behaviour, such as actual behaviour change or movement through different stages. No restrictions were applied to participants other than they had to be smokers, and there were no restrictions on language or publication date.
Two reviewers independently assessed the titles and abstracts and then assessed papers against predetermined selection criteria. Data were extracted by one reviewer into structured summary tables and checked by a second reviewer. Extracted data included smoking behaviour, movement through stages, adverse effects, and cost effectiveness. Each included trial was assessed for methodological quality and the quality of the implementation of the intervention.11 Quality assessment was performed by one reviewer and checked by a second reviewer. Disagreements were resolved by discussion. We were unable to carry out pooling because the studies were too heterogeneous for interventions, participants, settings, and outcomes; therefore we present a qualitative synthesis.
Effectiveness
In eight trials we found statistically significant differences in cessation
rate in favour of the intervention group
(table). In seven of these the
comparator was usual care and in one a non-stage based intervention. In 12
trials we found no statistically significant differences between groups in
smoking behaviour after the intervention. In five of these the comparator was
usual care, and in eight a non-stage based intervention. In three studies the
findings were inconclusive, either because of multiple outcomes, multiple
interventions, or multiple assessments.
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Only 10 trials reported movement through stages as an outcome. In five trials the comparator was a non-stage based intervention: one trial showed statistically significant effects in favour of the stage based intervention, in one the findings were inconclusive, and in three no statistically significant differences were found between groups. In six trials the comparator was usual care: the findings were inconclusive in two, and in four, no statistically significant differences were found between groups.
The trials reporting positive effects for the stage based interventions were compared in a qualitative way with the remaining trials on several dimensions that could have influenced the findings. These included methodological quality, number, mean age and sex of respondents, type of respondents, year of publication, setting, and type of outcome measures. Larger studies and studies that relied on smoking status being self reported tended to report more positive outcomes of the stage based interventions. For studies that compared a stage based intervention with a non-stage based intervention, more recent studies were less likely to report positive outcomes. None of the other factors differed between studies that reported positive outcomes of stage based interventions and studies that failed to find positive effects. Studies that compared a stage based intervention with usual care, studies of a higher quality, studies that were set in the community, or studies where participants were male, volunteers, or aged between 30 and 60 years tended to report more positive effects in favour of stage based interventions. The usefulness of this information is not clear, however, as these findings may have resulted from chance, because of the small number of studies in each group.
Cost effectiveness and stage assessment
Two trials included an economic evaluation. In a 1999 study evaluating the
effects of motivational consulting delivered by general practitioners, the
marginal cost per person who quitted was estimated at £450.65, which
could fall to an extreme of £265.00 with increased use. In another 1999
study, in which pharmacists provided tailored advice on smoking cessation, the
incremental cost effectiveness ratio for the intervention was estimated at
£300.00 per person who quitted.
Only two trials evaluating stage based interventions reported information on the validation of the instrument used to assess stage of change. The level of validation of the instruments was limited both for internal reliability and construct validity.
From a theoretical perspective, the effectiveness of any stage based intervention depends on accurate classification of a participant's particular stage of change. However, only two of the 23 included trials used a previously validated instrument, and the level of validation was limited.
Many of the included studies provided only a limited description of the content of the intervention, making it difficult for us to determine if, how, and to what extent stages of change were used in tailoring the intervention. In particular, it was unclear whether the intervention was tailored to a participant's particular stage of change.
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Finally, the duration of follow up may have been inadequate to assess changes in movement through stages or smoking behaviour. Twelve of the studies lasted between three and nine months, whereas the action stage was often defined as having quit smoking within the past six months and the maintenance stage as having quit smoking more than six months previously.
Conclusion
Although there is a substantial volume of research focusing on stages of
change, much of it does not address the effectiveness of the approach in
changing smoking behaviour. Studies that have evaluated effectiveness have
often used designs that are not optimal for establishing evidence of effect.
There is a need for methodologically sound and theoretically consistent
intervention studies to assess adequately the efficacy of stage based
approaches to changing smoking behaviour.
This is an abridged
version; the full version is on
bmj.com
A table of the
included studies and references appear on
bmj.com
Contributors: See bmj.com
Funding: NHS research and development health technology assessment programme.
Competing interests: None declared.
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