BMJ 2008;336:295 (9 February), doi:10.1136/bmj.39481.712639.C2
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Fewer than one in 10 people will die at home by 2030, study predicts
Roger Dobson
1 Abergavenny
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
The number of people dying at home in England and Wales has nearly halved in three decades, and now less than a fifth of people die at home.
By 2030, if this trend continues, fewer than one in 10 men and women will die at home, a new study has calculated (Palliative Medicine 2008;22:33-41).
To cope with such a decline, inpatient facilities will need to increase by more than 20%, say the researchers, from King’s College London.
"The projections underline the urgent need for planning end of life care to accommodate a large increase of ageing and deaths," said Barbara Gomes, one of the coauthors. "Either inpatient facilities must increase substantially, or many more people will need community end of life care from 2012 onwards."
The authors analysed trends in the place of death from 1974 to 2003 in England and Wales and then projected the likely trend to
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