BMJ  2008;336:361-365 (16 February), doi:10.1136/bmj.39476.623611.25

Analysis

Use of randomised trials to decide when to monitor response to new treatment

Katy J L Bell, PhD candidate, Les Irwig, professor of epidemiology, Jonathan C Craig, professor of clinical epidemiology, Petra Macaskill, associate professor in biostatistics

1 Screening and Test Evaluation Program, School of Public Health, Edward Ford Building (A27), The University of Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia

Correspondence to: K J L Bell katyb@health.usyd.edu.au

Is monitoring initial response to treatment always helpful in clinical management of patients? Bell and colleagues have developed a framework for deciding whether surrogate outcomes should be used to monitor initial response to treatment in chronic disease.

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

Monitoring entails periodic measurement to guide management1 and is widely practised in clinical medicine to inform decisions throughout the course of a disease and to provide prognostic information to patients. It is helpful to divide monitoring into phases: pretreatment, initial response, maintenance, re-establish control, and post-treatment.1

Initial response monitoring uses repeat measurement soon after a new treatment is started to check that the response is within a range that maximises the benefits while minimising the harms. Table 1 summarises different types of initial response monitoring.Go We have limited our discussion to the use of surrogate outcomes for monitoring initial response to treatment. Surrogate outcomes are commonly used to monitor initial response in patients with chronic conditions. This type of initial response monitoring is common in clinical practice and can result in inappropriate decisions. We looked at two scenarios to develop a rational framework for deciding whether this form of initial . . . [Full text of this article]

Rationale and pitfalls of monitoring initial response


Estimating variability in treatment effects between individuals from placebo controlled randomised trials


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A framework for choosing whether to monitor initial response to a new drug


What to do next


Summary points

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