BMJ  2008;336:995-998 (3 May), doi:10.1136/bmj.39490.551019.BE

Analysis

Rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations

What is "quality of evidence" and why is it important to clinicians?

Gordon H Guyatt, professor1, Andrew D Oxman, researcher2, Regina Kunz, associate professor3, Gunn E Vist, researcher2, Yngve Falck-Ytter, assistant professor4, Holger J Schünemann, associate professor5, for the GRADE Working Group

1 Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada L8N 3Z5, 2 Norwegian Knowledge Centre for the Health Services, PO Box 7004, St Olavs plass, 0130 Oslo, Norway, 3 Basel Institute of Clinical Epidemiology, University Hospital Basel, Hebelstrasse 10, 4031 Basel, Switzerland, 4 Division of Gastroenterology, Case Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106, USA, 5 Department of Epidemiology, CLARITY Research Group, Italian National Cancer Institute Regina Elena, Rome, Italy

Correspondence to: G H Guyatt, CLARITY Research Group, Department of Clinical Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Room 2C12, 1200 Main Street West Hamilton, ON, Canada L8N 3Z5 guyatt@mcmaster.ca

Guideline developers use a bewildering variety of systems to rate the quality of the evidence underlying their recommendations. Some are facile, some confused, and others sophisticated but complex

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

In 2004 the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) Working Group presented its initial proposal for patient management.1 In this second of a series of five articles focusing on the GRADE approach to developing and presenting recommendations we show how GRADE has built on previous systems to create a highly structured, transparent, and informative system for rating quality of evidence.


Summary points

A guideline’s formulation should include a clear question with specification of all outcomes of importance to patients
GRADE offers four levels of evidence quality: high, moderate, low, and very low
Randomised trials begin as high quality evidence and observational studies as low quality evidence
Quality may be downgraded as a result of limitations in study design or implementation, imprecision of estimates (wide confidence intervals), variability in results, indirectness of evidence, or publication bias
Quality may be upgraded because of a very large magnitude of effect, a dose-response gradient, . . . [Full text of this article]


A guideline’s formulation should include a clear question


Guideline developers should address the importance of their outcomes


Judging the quality of evidence requires consideration of the context


Factors in deciding on quality of evidence
Factors that might decrease quality of evidence
Factors that might increase quality of evidence

Study design is important in determining the quality of evidence


Five limitations can reduce the quality of the evidence


Study limitations
Inconsistent results
Indirectness of evidence
Imprecision
Publication bias

Three factors can increase the quality of evidence


Critical outcomes determine the rating of evidence quality across outcomes


Evidence profiles provide simple, transparent summaries


Conclusion

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Rapid Responses:

Read all Rapid Responses

Can GRADE motivate better use of evidence in developing countries?
Timur Y. Aripov
bmj.com, 7 May 2008 [Full text]
GRADES of Evidence need local relevance
Marko Tostad
bmj.com, 8 May 2008 [Full text]



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