BMJ, doi: 10.1136/bmjusa.03040003, (Published 6 May 2003)

Letter

RAPID RESPONSES FROM BMJ.COM

Drawbacks of primary prevention risk tables to assess cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetes

Following is an edited excerpt from one of the Rapid Responses generated by this article, which can be read in their entirety at http://bmj.com/cgi/eletters/326/7383/251 — Editor

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

From BMJ USA 2003;April:202

Editor — The proposal implied by Hall et al would lead to a rather rigid prescribing protocol whereby all patients with scores above a threshold (eg, 15%) would receive additional therapy, and others would not. In addition, the overemphasis on risk scores might ignore other key risk factors not represented by the Framingham risk equation, such as ethnicity, family history, microalbuminuria, and triglyceride concentration. The low baseline prevalence of diabetes in the Framingham cohort leads to wide confidence intervals in the predicted risk (±5-10%). Thus, in a diabetic man with average risk factors, the upper 95% confidence interval crosses the 15% 10-year threshold from age 40 onwards. It is quite plausible that individuals with risk scores below a chosen cutoff . . . [Full text of this article]

Bristol Royal Infirmary, Bristol, UK jamie.smith@virgin.net


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