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Long term social and psychological effects may be worse than acute ones
The ostensible purpose of chemical and
biological weapons is to endanger lives. Biological agents, however,
are particularly ineffective as military weapons, while chemical
weapons have only limited uses. This may be why armies have generally
acquiesced in international treaties to contain these unpredictable
weapons and feel capable of waging war without them. Instead, chemical and biological weapons are quintessentially weapons of terror. The now
routine journalistic association between chemical and biological
weapons and the word terror confirms that the purpose of these weapons
is to wreak destruction via psychological means We do not, however, know whether such panic would materialise.
Media stories emerging from the United States in the past few days are
not encouraging, but we should remember that history teaches us that
civilian populations have been able to withstand previous
"terror" weapons such as aerial bombing, despite warnings to
the contrary. However, one psychological reaction that can be
anticipated, because it has already started to materialise, is mass
sociogenic illness. On 29 September 2001 paint fumes set off a
bioterrorism scare at a middle school in Washington state, sending 16 students and a teacher to the hospital.3 On 3 October over 1000 students in several schools in Manila, Philippines, deluged
local clinics with mundane flu-like symptoms such as cough, cold, and
mild fever after rumours spread via short text services that the
symptoms were due to bioterrorism.4 On 9 October a man
sprayed an unknown substance into a Maryland subway station, resulting
in the sudden appearance of nausea, headache, and sore throat in 35 people. It was later determined that the bottle contained window
cleaner.5
Examples of mass sociogenic illness remind us of the dangers of
inadvertently amplifying psychological responses to chemical and
biological weapons and thus adding to their impact. One example is the
routine use of investigators clad in space suits to assess possible
terrorist attacks. Another is that the United States government is
considering placing detectors to identify chemical warfare agents on
the Washington DC subway system. It is possible that these alarms will
in practice cause greater disruptions to transport systems than the
attack itself, given the high probability that such detectors may give
false alarms. There were 4500 such alerts in the Gulf war and none was
associated with a confirmed attack.
The long term social and psychological effects of an episode of
chemical or biological attack, real or suspected, would be as damaging
as the acute ones, if not more so.6 For example, a serious
physical impact of the accidental discharge of sarin nerve agent during
the destruction of an Iraqi weapons depot after the end of the Gulf war
has not been documented, but the psychological, social, and political
consequences have been substantial and continuing.7 Even if the short term consequences of an attack with chemical or
biological weapons turn out to be less than some of the apocalyptic scenarios currently being aired by the media, the long term disruptions may be worse than anticipated. Experience from other incidents involving confirmed or alleged incidents of toxic contamination suggests that these might cluster around four major health concerns: chronic injuries and diseases directly caused by the toxic agent; questions about adverse reproductive outcomes; psychological effects; and increased levels of physical symptoms.8-10
The general level of malaise, fear, and anxiety may remain high
for years, exacerbating pre-existing psychiatric disorders and
further heightening the risk of mass sociogenic
illness.
11 12
The current uncertainty over the chronic
health effects of low level exposure to toxic agents will further
increase anxiety in the affected communities.13 Because
health officials cannot provide blanket assurances that no harm will
result from brief or non-symptom producing exposure to toxic agents,
frustration and then a growing distrust of medical experts and
government officials may result, robbing state institutions of the
trust they need to manage recovery. Lastly, unconfirmed or
controversial hypotheses about the health effects of exposure to
chemical and biological weapons will probably become contentious
scientific and media issues in the years ahead, as has occurred after
numerous chemical and radiological incidents, the Gulf war, and the
Balkans deployment.
14 15
Department of Psychological Medicine, Guy's King's and St
Thomas' School of Medicine and the Institute of Psychiatry, London,
SE5 8AF (s.wessely{at}iop.kcl.ac.uk) Office of Public Health and Environmental Hazards, Department
of Veterans Affairs, 810 Vermont Avenue NW, Washington DC 20420, USA Department of Sociology, James Cook University, Townsville
4811, Queensland, Australia
by inducing fear,
confusion, and uncertainty in everyday life.
1 2
These
effects will take two forms, acute and long term. It is customary to
expect largescale panic if such weapons are ever effectively deployed
or thought to be deployed.
Kenneth Craig Hyams
Robert Bartholomew
| 1. | Guillemin J. Anthrax: the investigation of a deadly outbreak. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, 1999:245. |
| 2. | Renn O. Mental health, stress and risk perception: insights from psychological research. In: Health effects of large releases of radionucleotides. Chichester: Wiley., 1997. (CIBA foundation symposium 203.) |
| 3. | Durbin K, Vogt T. Fumes . . . Columbian 2001 Sept 29. |
| 4. | Villanueva RL, Payumo MC, Lema K. Flu scare sweeps schools. Business World (Philippines) 2001 Oct 3:12. |
| 5. | Lellman L. Suspicious incident forces subway's closing. Rutland Daily Herald 2001 Oct 10:3. |
| 6. | Hyams KC, Murphy F, Wessely S. Responding to a terrorist attack with chemical, biological, or nuclear materials: the indirect and long-term health effects may present the greatest challenge. J Health Politics Policy Law (in press). |
| 7. | Fulco C, Liverman C, Sox H, eds. Depleted uranium, sarin, pyridostigmine bromide, vaccines. In: Gulf War and health. , Vol 1 Washington, DC: Institute of Medicine, 2000. |
| 8. | David AS, Wessely SC. The legend of Camelford: medical consequences of a water pollution accident. J Psychosom Res 1995; 39: 1-9[CrossRef][Medline]. |
| 9. | Schwartz S, White P, Hughes R. Environmental threats, communities and hysteria. J Pub Health Pol 1985; 6: 58-77. |
| 10. | Nakajima T, Ohta S, Fukushima Y, Yanagisawa N. Sequelae of sarin toxicity at one and three years after exposure in Matsumoto, Japan. J Epidemiol 1999; 9: 337-343[Medline]. |
| 11. | Birchard K. Does Iraq's depleted uranium pose a health risk? Lancet 1998; 351: 657[Medline]. |
| 12. | Prince-Embury S, Rooney J. Psychological symptoms of residents in the aftermath of the Three Mile Island nuclear accident in the aftermath of technological disaster. J Social Psychol 1988; 128: 779-790[Medline]. |
| 13. | Brown M, Brix K. Review of health consequences from high, intermediate, and low level exposure to organophosphorus nerve agents. J Applied Toxicology 1998; 18: 393-408[CrossRef][Medline]. |
| 14. | Collins D, Carvalho A. Chronic stress from the Goiania 137 Cs radiation accident. Behavioral Med 1993; 18: 149-157. |
| 15. | Neutra R. Epidemiology for and with a distrustful community. Environ Health Perspect 1985; 62: 393-397[Medline]. |
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