Relative risks of stroke (95% confidence intervals) according to fifths of total fat, specific types of fat, dietary cholesterol, and Keys score
|
|
Fifths of nutrient intake
|
|
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
P for trend
|
Total fat
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (g/day)
|
54
|
64
|
70
|
77
|
86
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
89
|
87
|
91
|
97
|
91
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.96 (0.72 to 1.29)
|
0.97 (0.72 to 1.30)
|
1.04 (0.78 to 1.39)
|
0.93 (0.68 to 1.25)
|
0.91
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
0.93 (0.68 to 1.26)
|
1.02 (0.74 to 1.39)
|
1.02 (0.74 to 1.42)
|
0.91 (0.65 to 1.28)
|
0.77
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
18
|
30
|
28
|
23
|
26
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.66 (0.93 to 2.98)
|
1.50 (0.83 to 2.71)
|
1.23 (0.66 to 2.30)
|
1.32 (0.71 to 2.45)
|
0.73
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.76 (0.95 to 3.25)
|
1.49 (0.79 to 2.83)
|
1.18 (0.60 to 2.35)
|
1.16 (0.58 to 2.32)
|
0.83
|
Animal fat
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (g/day)
|
25
|
33
|
39
|
45
|
54
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
80
|
90
|
95
|
88
|
102
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.07 (0.78 to 1.45)
|
1.13 (0.84 to 1.53)
|
1.05 (0.77 to 1.43)
|
1.16 (0.86 to 1.58)
|
0.55
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.14 (0.83 to 1.56)
|
1.12 (0.81 to 1.55)
|
1.04 (0.74 to 1.46)
|
1.20 (0.84 to 1.70)
|
0.47
|
+ vegetable fat
|
1.0
|
1.11 (0.81 to 1.53)
|
1.10 (0.79 to 1.52)
|
1.02 (0.72 to 1.44)
|
1.15 (0.80 to 1.65)
|
0.61
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
21
|
21
|
25
|
35
|
23
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.95 (0.52 to 1.77)
|
1.14 (0.63 to 2.06)
|
1.61 (0.92 to 2.82)
|
1.01 (0.54 to 1.90)
|
0.45
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
0.95 (0.50 to 1.79)
|
1.12 (0.60 to 2.10)
|
1.49 (0.80 to 2.78)
|
0.90 (0.45 to 1.81)
|
0.90
|
+ vegetable fat
|
1.0
|
0.92 (0.49 to 1.74)
|
1.08 (0.58 to 2.04)
|
1.44 (0.77 to 2.70)
|
0.86 (0.42 to 1.77)
|
0.99
|
Vegetable fat
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (g/day)
|
20
|
26
|
30
|
34
|
42
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
94
|
105
|
96
|
70
|
90
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.18 (0.89 to 1.56)
|
1.11 (0.83 to 1.47)
|
0.82 (0.60 to 1.12)
|
0.98 (0.74 to 1.31)
|
0.27
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.22 (0.91 to 1.62)
|
1.23 (0.91 to 1.66)
|
0.83 (0.60 to 1.16)
|
1.07 (0.77 to 1.47)
|
0.66
|
+ animal fat
|
1.0
|
1.22 (0.91 to 1.62)
|
1.24 (0.92 to 1.67)
|
0.84 (0.60 to 1.18)
|
1.09 (0.78 to 1.51)
|
0.79
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
25
|
23
|
27
|
27
|
23
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.96 (0.54 to 1.69)
|
1.16 (0.68 to 2.00)
|
1.17 (0.68 to 2.04)
|
0.95 (0.53 to 1.69)
|
0.83
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.01 (0.56 to 1.82)
|
1.20 (0.68 to 2.13)
|
1.25 (0.70 to 2.25)
|
0.87 (0.46 to 1.63)
|
0.80
|
+ animal fat
|
1.0
|
1.00 (0.56 to 1.80)
|
1.20 (0.67 to 2.13)
|
1.24 (0.68 to 2.24)
|
0.86 (0.45 to 1.64)
|
0.80
|
Saturated fat
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (g/day)
|
17
|
21
|
24
|
26
|
31
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
81
|
92
|
95
|
88
|
99
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.10 (0.82 to 1.49)
|
1.15 (0.86 to 1.54)
|
1.01 (0.75 to 1.38)
|
1.08 (0.80 to 1.46)
|
0.65
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.16 (0.85 to 1.59)
|
1.19 (0.86 to 1.65)
|
1.08 (0.77 to 1.52)
|
1.16 (0.81 to 1.65)
|
0.59
|
+ poly, mono, trans
|
1.0
|
1.24 (0.87 to 1.76)
|
1.26 (0.84 to 1.88)
|
1.13 (0.73 to 1.76)
|
1.21 (0.75 to 1.97)
|
0.63
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
18
|
24
|
34
|
26
|
23
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.30 (0.71 to 2.39)
|
1.86 (1.05 to 3.31)
|
1.36 (0.73 to 2.54)
|
1.15 (0.60 to 2.19)
|
0.63
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.27 (0.66 to 2.42)
|
1.74 (0.93 to 3.26)
|
1.34 (0.68 to 2.66)
|
0.99 (0.48 to 2.04)
|
0.85
|
+ poly, mono, trans
|
1.0
|
1.30 (0.64 to 2.64)
|
1.93 (0.91 to 4.08)
|
1.56 (0.67 to 3.67)
|
1.17 (0.45 to 3.07)
|
0.83
|
Monounsaturated fat
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (g/day)
|
20
|
24
|
27
|
30
|
34
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
90
|
82
|
91
|
99
|
93
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.88 (0.65 to 1.18)
|
0.99 (0.74 to 1.33)
|
1.06 (0.80 to 1.41)
|
0.88 (0.66 to 1.19)
|
0.96
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
0.89 (0.65 to 1.21)
|
1.03 (0.75 to 1.42)
|
1.03 (0.74 to 1.42)
|
0.91 (0.65 to 1.28)
|
0.83
|
+ poly, sat, trans
|
1.0
|
0.85 (0.59 to 1.22)
|
1.01 (0.67 to 1.53)
|
1.06 (0.67 to 1.68)
|
1.00 (0.58 to 1.70)
|
0.85
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
22
|
27
|
25
|
23
|
28
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.22 (0.70 to 2.15)
|
1.14 (0.64 to 2.02)
|
1.04 (0.57 to 1.87)
|
1.14 (0.64 to 2.03)
|
0.82
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.23 (0.68 to 2.22)
|
1.00 (0.54 to 1.88)
|
0.91 (0.47 to 1.75)
|
0.95 (0.49 to 1.83)
|
0.62
|
+ Poly, sat, trans
|
1.0
|
0.96 (0.48 to 1.93)
|
0.69 (0.30 to 1.56)
|
0.61 (0.24 to 1.55)
|
0.68 (0.24 to 1.96)
|
0.40
|
Polyunsaturated fat
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (g/day)
|
10
|
11
|
13
|
14
|
17
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
96
|
101
|
92
|
89
|
77
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.13 (0.85 to 1.50)
|
1.04 (0.78 to 1.39)
|
1.03 (0.77 to 1.38)
|
0.88 (0.65 to 1.19)
|
0.28
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.14 (0.85 to 1.53)
|
1.11 (0.82 to 1.49)
|
0.99 (0.73 to 1.34)
|
0.88 (0.64 to 1.21)
|
0.25
|
+ mono, sat, trans
|
1.0
|
1.15 (0.85 to 1.55)
|
1.11 (0.81 to 1.53)
|
0.98 (0.70 to 1.37)
|
0.86 (0.59 to 1.25)
|
0.26
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
27
|
22
|
28
|
25
|
23
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.87 (0.50 to 1.52)
|
1.14 (0.67 to 1.93)
|
1.00 (0.58 to 1.73)
|
0.92 (0.53 to 1.59)
|
0.97
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
0.85 (0.47 to 1.52)
|
1.12 (0.64 to 1.96)
|
1.02 (0.57 to 1.82)
|
0.86 (0.47 to 1.56)
|
0.75
|
+ mono, sat, trans
|
1.0
|
0.89 (0.49 to 1.64)
|
1.20 (0.66 to 2.19)
|
1.09 (0.57 to 2.09)
|
0.95 (0.46 to 1.98)
|
0.99
|
Trans unsaturated fat
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (g/day)
|
1.67
|
2.34
|
2.86
|
3.44
|
4.42
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
91
|
93
|
83
|
97
|
91
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.01 (0.76 to 1.35)
|
0.90 (0.67 to 1.22)
|
1.10 (0.83 to 1.45)
|
0.93 (0.69 to 1.25)
|
0.79
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.01 (0.75 to 1.37)
|
0.86 (0.62 to 1.19)
|
0.98 (0.71 to 1.35)
|
0.87 (0.62 to 1.22)
|
0.42
|
+ poly, mono, sat
|
1.0
|
0.96 (0.70 to 1.33)
|
0.80 (0.57 to 1.14)
|
0.90 (0.63 to 1.29)
|
0.80 (0.54 to 1.17)
|
0.26
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
18
|
29
|
22
|
22
|
34
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.66 (0.93 to 2.97)
|
1.20 (0.63 to 2.26)
|
1.24 (0.66 to 2.31)
|
1.78 (0.99 to 3.19)
|
0.16
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.54 (0.83 to 2.87)
|
1.16 (0.59 to 2.27)
|
1.06 (0.53 to 2.15)
|
1.76 (0.90 to 3.45)
|
0.20
|
+ poly, mono, sat
|
1.0
|
1.44 (0.76 to 2.73)
|
1.13 (0.55 to 2.30)
|
1.11 (0.53 to 2.36)
|
1.90 (0.90 to 3.98)
|
0.13
|
Cholesterol
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median intake (mg/d)
|
189
|
239
|
278
|
321
|
398
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
87
|
81
|
85
|
89
|
113
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.90 (0.67 to 1.23)
|
0.90 (0.67 to 1.22)
|
0.89 (0.65 to 1.20)
|
1.06 (0.79 to 1.41)
|
0.72
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
0.97 (0.72 to 1.32)
|
0.85 (0.62 to 1.16)
|
0.82 (0.60 to 1.13)
|
1.02 (0.75 to 1.39)
|
0.99
|
+ poly, mono, sat, trans
|
1.0
|
0.93 (0.68 to 1.27)
|
0.80 (0.57 to 1.10)
|
0.76 (0.54 to 1.06)
|
0.93 (0.66 to 1.30)
|
0.63
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
24
|
19
|
25
|
24
|
33
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.77 (0.42 to 1.38)
|
0.95 (0.55 to 1.65)
|
0.82 (0.46 to 1.44)
|
1.10 (0.66 to 1.86)
|
0.51
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
0.70 (0.37 to 1.32)
|
1.02 (0.57 to 1.83)
|
0.91 (0.50 to 1.65)
|
1.04 (0.58 to 1.88)
|
0.61
|
+ poly, mono, sat, trans
|
1.0
|
0.66 (0.34 to 1.26)
|
0.99 (0.54 to 1.82)
|
0.90 (0.48 to 1.70)
|
1.16 (0.61 to 2.20)
|
0.37
|
Keys score
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median score
|
27.0
|
33.1
|
37.0
|
41.0
|
47.4
|
|
Ischaemic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
86
|
84
|
88
|
91
|
106
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
0.93 (0.69 to 1.25)
|
0.99 (0.73 to 1.33)
|
0.97 (0.72 to 1.30)
|
1.04 (0.77 to 1.39)
|
0.66
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
0.92 (0.67 to 1.26)
|
0.96 (0.69 to 1.33)
|
0.96 (0.69 to 1.34)
|
1.04 (0.74 to 1.48)
|
0.71
|
Haemorrhagic stroke:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of cases
|
19
|
21
|
28
|
33
|
24
|
|
Adjusted for age and smoking
|
1.0
|
1.04 (0.55 to 1.94)
|
1.48 (0.83 to 2.65)
|
1.64 (0.92 to 2.92)
|
1.00 (0.52 to 1.92)
|
0.40
|
Multivariate*
|
1.0
|
1.12 (0.58 to 2.15)
|
1.46 (0.77 to 2.76)
|
1.59 (0.84 to 3.02)
|
1.07 (0.53 to 2.19)
|
0.68
|
|
Poly=polyunsaturated fat; mono=monounsaturated fat; sat=saturated fat; trans=trans unsaturated fat.
* Adjusted for body mass index (<21, 21-22.9, 23-24.9, 25-29.9, or
30), physical activity (fifths), history of hypertension (yes or no), smoking status (never, past, and current with 1-14, 15-24, or
25 cigarettes/day), aspirin use (yes or no), multivitamin use (yes or no), and consumption of alcohol (0, 0.1-9.9, 10-19.9, 20-29.9, or
30g/day), potassium (fifths), fibre (fifths), and vitamin E (fifths), total servings of fruit and vegetables (fifths), total energy intake (continuous), and hypercholesterolaemia (yes or no) at baseline.
Additional adjustments. All additional variables are fifths.
Keys score=1.26(2S-P)+1.5(square root (C)); S=percentages of total energy from saturated fat; P=percentages of total energy from polyunsaturated fat; C=daily cholesterol intake in mg/1000 kcal.