Methylxanthines for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: meta-analysis of randomised trials ============================================================================================================== * R Graham Barr * Brian H Rowe * Carlos A Camargo ## Abstract **Objective** To evaluate the addition of methylxanthines to standard treatments in patients presenting with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). **Design** Meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. **Data source** The Cochrane airways review group's COPD register. Two reviewers independently selected articles for inclusion, assessed methodological quality, and extracted data. **Selection of studies** Four trials met the inclusion criteria, with 169 patients. **Main outcome measures** Mean change in spirometry, clinical end points, symptom scores, and adverse events. **Results** Mean change in forced expiratory volume at one second at two hours was similar in methylxanthine and placebo groups but transiently increased with methylxanthines at three days. Non-significant reductions in admissions to hospital and length of stay were offset by a non-significant increase in relapses at one week. Changes in symptom scores did not reach significance. Methylxanthines caused more nausea and vomiting than placebo (odds ratio 4.6, 95% confidence interval 1.7 to 12.6), and non-significant increases in tremor, palpitations, and arrhythmias were also observed. **Conclusions** The available data do not support the use of methylxanthines for the treatment of exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Potential benefits of methylxanthines for lung function and symptoms were generally not confirmed at standard levels of significance, whereas the potentially important adverse events of nausea and vomiting were significantly increased in patients receiving methylxanthines. ## Introduction The guidelines of the Global Strategy for the Diagnosis, Management, and Prevention of Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) currently recommend consideration of the addition of an oral or intravenous methylxanthine to aerosolised bronchodilators for severe exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).1 This recommendation follows prior guidelines of the British, European, and American thoracic societies that recommended methylxanthines for patients with severe exacerbations2 or incomplete response to bronchodilators.3 4 Methylxanthines produce several effects that may be beneficial to patients with stable COPD,5 including bronchodilation, immunomodulation, and broncho-protection.6 They may also influence the course of exacerbations of COPD through actions to decrease diaphragmatic muscle fatigue, increase mucociliary clearance, block centrally mediated hypoventilation, and decrease capillary leakage.7 Some studies have implied that the clinical impact of methylxanthines is larger than their modest bronchodilator effects.8 Randomised controlled trials of methylxanthines for exacerbations of COPD, however, have been small and have produced conflicting results. We therefore conducted a meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials to determine the effect of methylxanthines on the course of exacerbations of COPD. ## Methods We included randomised trials that compared methylxanthines (oral theophylline, intravenous aminophylline, or intravenous doxofylline) with placebo for exacerbations of COPD. Treatment was required to occur in the emergency department or immediately on admission to hospital. Co-interventions were permitted and included β2 agonists, ipratropium, antibiotics, corticosteroids, and oxygen. We required participants in the studies to have known COPD with an exacerbation that necessitated presentation to an emergency department or other acute care setting, or admission to hospital. Patients with a diagnosis of asthma, cystic fibrosis, bronchiectasis, or other lung diseases were excluded. Patients with partial reversibility on pulmonary function testing were included. ### **Outcome measures** We defined outcomes of lung function testing as change in forced expiratory volume at one second (FEV1) at two hours and at three days. Clinical outcomes included admission to hospital, relapse within seven days (for patients in emergency departments), length of stay (for patients admitted to hospital), and change in self rated symptom scores within hours and at three days. Adverse events were recorded and included nausea and vomiting, hypokalaemia, hyperglycaemia, headache, confusion, tremor, seizures, palpitations or arrhythmias, myocardial infarction, and sudden death. ### **Search strategy for identification of studies** The COPD register of the Cochrane airways review group is a compilation of controlled clinical trials assembled from systematic searches of Medline, Embase, and CINAHL and supplemented by hand searches of 20 leading respiratory journals. It is not limited by language of publication. We used the following terms to search the database: methylxanthine* *or* theophylline *or* aminophylline *or* doxofylline *and* acute *or* emerg* *or* exacerbation* *or* sudden We checked reference lists of all primary studies and review articles and contacted authors of identified trials. Two reviewers independently identified trials that seemed potentially relevant from title and abstracts. By using the abstract or the full text of each study as necessary two reviewers independently decided if trials fulfilled inclusion criteria for the review. Differences were resolved by discussion. ### **Assessment of methodological quality** We used the Cochrane approach and Jadad criteria to assess methodological quality.9 Two reviewers extracted data independently. Authors of trials were contacted to provide missing data and intention to treat results, when necessary. Two reviewers independently estimated some information regarding outcomes from graphs. ### **Statistical analysis** We used Review Manager (version 4.1; MetaView version 4.1) to combine trials and analysed them by intention to treat. For continuous variables we calculated mean difference and 95% confidence intervals for each study. We pooled similar studies by using weighted mean difference or standardised mean difference and 95% confidence intervals. For dichotomous variables we calculated an odds ratio with 95% confidence intervals for individual studies and pooled results. We tested heterogeneity among pooled estimates; P < 0.10 was considered statistically significant heterogeneity. Where we found significant heterogeneity we used a random effects model. All studies provided measures of standard deviation or standard error of the mean for FEV1; the method of reporting, however, differed between studies. We calculated standard deviations from the standard error of the mean by multiplying the standard error by the square root of the number of subjects in each group. All studies provided the standard deviation or standard error of the FEV1 before treatment. One study provided the standard deviation for relative change in FEV1 at two hours,10 one provided the SD for FEV1 at two hours after treatment,8 and two provided an estimate of the variance for the absolute change in FEV1 at three days.11 12 The two former studies were therefore not directly comparable, whereas the latter two were. For the former two studies we report individual study results in this paper and made estimates of the combined effect under various assumptions of the covariance. We calculated the variance before and after the intervention from the standard deviation at each time point and combined variances (σ2) by using the formula: ![Formula][1] Since the covariance between time points was not reported, we performed analyses with, firstly, a conservative estimate of no covariance, and secondly, with the covariance estimated as ![Formula][2] where ρ is the correlation coefficient between σ22 and σ21 among all the included trials. We converted the variance of the mean difference (σ21,2) to the standard deviation of the mean difference. ## Results We identified 1299 articles in the COPD register of the Cochrane airways review group. The review of titles and abstracts yielded 29 articles that possibly fulfilled inclusion criteria. Among these, four8 10–12 met criteria and were included in the analysis. Excluded studies and reason for exclusion are listed in table 1. View this table: [Table 1](http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7416/643/T1) Table 1 Studies of methylxanthines for the treatment of exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease that were identified but did not meet all inclusion criteria, and reason for exclusion Three studies were published in the peer reviewed literature, and the fourth12 has been published in abstract form. Table 2 shows the characteristics of the studies. The included trials yielded results for 169 patients. Two studies recruited patients presenting to emergency departments,8 10 and the other two recruited patients admitted to hospital. Three tested intravenous aminophylline,8 10 11 and the fourth tested oral theophylline.12 All evaluated the incremental effectiveness of aminophylline added to standard treatment (generally inhaled β2 agonists, anticholinergics, supplemental oxygen, steroids, and antibiotics). View this table: [Table 2](http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7416/643/T2) Table 2 Characteristics of randomised clinical trials of methylxanthines for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease that were included in the meta-analysis Three of the four studies made substantial efforts to restrict asthmatic patients from the analysis. One study enrolled patients with asthma and COPD and reported both combined and stratified results.8 Whenever possible, data were extracted for patients with COPD only.The authors of two studies8 12 provided supplemental, unpublished data. Overall, the methodological quality of the studies was moderate, as listed in table 2. ### **Pulmonary function** Two trials reported baseline FEV1 and change at two hours. One study reported a small, non-significant benefit with methylxanthines (relative change in FEV1 for methylxanthines: 27% (95% confidence interval 3% to 51%) *v* 22% (13% to 31%) for placebo),10 whereas the other showed a non-significant worsening with methylxanthines (relative change in FEV1 for methylxanthines: 28% *v* 37% for placebo (95% confidence interval could not be estimated from available data)).8 Owing to variation in reporting, these trials could not be combined without additional assumptions. We made estimates of the combined effect under various assumptions. All estimates of the combined effect showed a smaller improvement in FEV1 at two hours with methylxanthines than with placebo; in no case did the difference reach significance, and for most estimates the 95% confidence interval excluded any clinically meaningful benefit (for example, weighted mean difference - 36 ml, 95% confidence interval - 134 ml to 63 ml). Two trials provided data on change in FEV1 at three days of hospitalisation. The pooled results of the trials for FEV1 were homogenous (P = 0.36), and the combined weighted mean difference was 101 ml (26 ml to 177 ml) in favour of methylxanthines (fig 1). Only one of the two trials, however, showed a benefit of methylxanthines.12 In that trial baseline FEV1 was considerably lower in intervention group than the placebo group (0.59 l and 0.68 l, respectively; a difference of 90 ml). The improvement in FEV1 in methylxanthine compared with placebo arms in that trial was only observed at days 3 and 4 over seven days of follow up.12 Severity of COPD, as measured by baseline FEV1, was similar in the two trials. ![Fig 1](http://www.bmj.com/https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/327/7416/643/F1.medium.gif) [Fig 1](http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7416/643/F1) Fig 1 Weighted mean difference in change in FEV1 at three days (in ml) and 95% confidence intervals between methylxanthines and placebo. Please note that the right side of the scale in figures fig 1 and fig 3 favours treatment (methylxanthines) whereas the right side of the scale in figures fig 2 and fig 4 favours control. This visual inconsistency is required for numerical consistency ![Fig 2](http://www.bmj.com/https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/327/7416/643/F2.medium.gif) [Fig 2](http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7416/643/F2) Fig 2 Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals of relapses within seven days that required return to the emergency department for methylxanthines compared with placebo use ![Fig 3](http://www.bmj.com/https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/327/7416/643/F3.medium.gif) [Fig 3](http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7416/643/F3) Fig 3 Standardised mean difference in symptom score (0-100) at three days and 95% confidence intervals between methylxanthines compared with placebo use ![Fig 4](http://www.bmj.com/https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/327/7416/643/F4.medium.gif) [Fig 4](http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7416/643/F4) Fig 4 Odds ratio and 95% confidence intervals of nausea/vomiting (panel A), tremor (panel B), and palpitations/arrhythmias (panel C) for methylxanthines compared with placebo use ### Clinical end points Data on admissions were available from only one trial.8 This trial showed a non-significant reduction in admissions to hospital with methylxanthine use (odds ratio 0.3, 0.1 to 1.8). Data on relapses within seven days that necessitated a return to the emergency department were reported in two trials.8 10 These showed a non-significant increase in relapses in the methylxanthine group (1.5, 0.4 to 5.2) (fig 2). Among patients admitted to hospital one trial showed a non-significant reduction in length of stay in the methylxanthine group (absolute difference - 1.4 (95% confidence interval - 2.9 to 0.1) days).12 ### **Symptom scores** We extracted data for change in any symptom. One study reported changes in symptoms over several hours as a dichotomised result.8 Another reported mean differences in four symptom scores over the same time interval10; these were, however, not interpretable as dichotomous outcomes. The two studies that examined symptom scores over three days in patients admitted to hospital reported similar, continuous outcomes, which were comparable as improvement in a 100 point (overall) symptom score.11 12 Results at three days were heterogeneous (P < 0.001), with one study reporting a non-significant benefit and the other reporting a statistically significant harm. The combined estimate indicated a small, non-significant worsening of symptom score with methylxanthines (standardised mean difference - 1.4, 95% confidence interval - 5.1 to 2.4) (fig 3). The extracted three day symptom score for the intervention group in one trial was unrepresentative of the overall trend for symptom scores in that trial.11 Re-extraction of the closest, more representative score (at 2.5 days) and re-analysis by using this measure removed the heterogeneity in the analysis (P = 0.69) and showed an even smaller, non-significant improvement with methylxanthines (standardised mean difference 0.45, 0.0 to 0.9, P = 0.05). ### **Adverse effects** Three trials reported adverse effects of methylxanthines.8 11 12 The trials were homogeneous for all adverse event outcomes (fig 4). The odds of nausea or vomiting were significantly higher for patients receiving a methylxanthine (odds ratio 4.6, 95% confidence interval 1.7 to 12.6) than for patients receiving placebo. More frequent tremor (1.8, 0.7 to 4.6) and palpitations and arrhythmias (4.1, 0.9 to 19.6) were observed among patients receiving methylxanthines, although these associations did not reach significance. Other adverse effects were reported infrequently and could not be combined. One definite myocardial infarction and one patient with acute T wave inversion and hyperglycaemia suggestive of a myocardial infarction were reported among the 97 patients receiving methylxanthines; no similar events were reported in the placebo group. One intubation was reported in both the methylxanthine and placebo groups, and no deaths were reported during treatment. ## Discussion Methylxanthines do not confer statistically significant benefit for lung function, clinical outcomes, and symptoms in patients with exacerbations of COPD, but significantly increase nausea and vomiting. This meta-analysis examined the available evidence from randomised controlled trials on methylxanthines in exacerbations of COPD and did not show a consistent benefit of methylxanthines. Whereas a variety of potential benefits of methylxanthines on clinical outcomes were not confirmed at standard levels of statistical significance, nausea and vomiting were significantly increased compared with placebo and other adverse events were non-significantly increased. Methylxanthines had no consistent effect on FEV1 at two hours. At three days the change in FEV1 was greater in the methylxanthine group, a finding that is based heavily on the results from one study.12 However, this finding may have been biased by an imbalance in baseline FEV1 in that study. The difference in baseline FEV1 between the theophylline and placebo groups was approximately as large as the difference in change in FEV1 between two groups, such that the FEV1 at the end of follow up three days was the same in treatment and placebo groups. In the original report the differential improvement observed in FEV1 at three days was not sustained with greater follow up.12 Our intention was to examine clinical outcomes and symptom scores, but this was constrained by sparse data and reporting vagaries. A non-significant reduction in admissions to hospital among emergency department patients in one study was offset by a non-significant increase in the number of treatment relapses among patients sent home from the emergency department. Length of stay in hospital was shorter among patients receiving theophylline than among those receiving placebo, although this result was not statistically significant. In the original study length of stay was significantly reduced only in an analysis that was not by intention to treat.12 The magnitude of changes in symptom scores was clinically unimportant and the direction inconsistent. In contrast to findings for lung function and clinical end points, the pattern of higher risk of adverse events was consistent and, for nausea and vomiting, reached significance. Nausea and vomiting may not be trivial side effects in patients with severe respiratory distress–more than a third of patients in the methylxanthine group developed nausea or vomiting. Most international recommendations currently recommend methylxanthines for severe exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or exacerbations that are not responding aerosolised bronchodilator treatment.1–4 We had limited power to examine differences by subgroup of severity of exacerbations; however, no greater benefit was apparent for more severe exacerbations. All four studies evaluated the addition of a methylxanthine to aerosol treatment and enrolled patients with moderately severe exacerbations (pre-treatment FEV1 range 0.6-0.8 l). Our results therefore apply to the target population of these recommendations. Our findings concur with the recommendations of the joint panel of the American College of Physicians-American Society of Internal Medicine and the American College of Chest Physicians, which recommended against use of methylxanthines for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.38 ### **Limitations** The major limitation of this meta-analysis was the paucity of randomised trial data. The sparseness of the data prevented the assignment of definitive conclusions regarding benefits of methylxanthines but allowed firmer conclusions regarding their effect on adverse events. There is a possibility of publication and selection bias in any meta-analysis; but publication bias is unlikely to affect this analysis since the published trials were predominantly negative. The data were not evaluated for the presence of publication bias since too few trials were available to perform a meaningful evaluation. To avoid selection bias, a systematic and comprehensive search was conducted and two reviewers independently evaluated trials for inclusion. The available data do not support the use of methylxanthines to treat exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Potential benefits of methylxanthines on lung function and symptoms were generally not confirmed at standard levels of significance, whereas the potentially important adverse events of nausea and vomiting was significantly increased in patients receiving methylxanthines. **What is already known on this topic** Methylxanthines are thought to have modest beneficial effects for the management of stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Randomised trials of methylxanthines for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease have been small and have produced conflicting results **What this study adds** Potential benefits of methylxanthines on lung function, clinical outcomes, and symptoms were generally not confirmed at standard levels of significance The important adverse events of nausea and vomiting were significantly increased in patients receiving methylxanthines The authors wish to acknowledge the help of Stephen Milan, Karen Blackwell, and Toby Lasserson of the Cochrane Airways Review Group. We thank Gary M Strauss for assistance with article selection, Keith Wrenn and Felix Ram for providing unpublished data, and Brenda Taveras for help with manuscript preparation. Finally, the assistance of Paul Jones (the Cochrane Airways Review Group's coordinating editor) was greatly appreciated. ## Acknowledgments Contributors: RGB oversaw the planning of the study, evaluated studies for inclusion, assessed methodological quality, extracted data, performed the statistical analysis, and prepared the manuscript. BHR assisted in planning, execution and manuscript preparation. CAC assisted in planning, evaluated studies for inclusion, assessed methodological quality, extracted data, and assisted in manuscript preparation. All authors approved the final version of the paper. RGB will act as guarantor. ## Footnotes * Funding Supported by grants PE-11001, HL-07427, and HL-63841 from the National Institutes of Health. 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